Testing for latent tuberculosis remains fishing in muddy water. In the systematic review of Pai and coworkers (1) on interferon-based
tests, two points merit emphasis.
First, sensitivity and specificity characterise tests, but do little to inform patient care. Interpretation of tests for individual
patients requires knowledge of disease prevalence, and of the predicitive values of the test. The systematic review (1) neither
formally tested the
statistical significance of the differing test characteristics (sensitivity, specificity), nor could it report the tests'
predicitive values.
This directly leads to point two: lack of a well-defined reference standard. The authors choose 'active tuberculosis' as a
surrogate. For latent tuberculosis, the essential questions are 1) What is the probability, that this patient will develop
tuberculosis? and 2) What is
the probability, that this patient will benefit from treatment? Defining the incidence of active tuberculosis, depending on
test results, requires studies with appropriate follow-up (2) and stratification by pre-test
probabilities (3).
1. Pai M, Zwerling A, Menzies D. Systematic review: T-cell-based assays for the diagnosis of latent tuberculosis infection:
an update. Ann Intern Med. 2008; 149: [PMID: 18593687]
2. Diel R, Loddenkemper R, Meywald-Walter K, Niemann S, Nienhaus A. Predictive value of a whole blood IFN-gamma assay for
the development of active tuberculosis disease after recent infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Am J Respir Crit Care
Med. 2008; 177: 1164-70. [PMID:18276940]
3. Horsburgh CR Jr. Priorities for the treatment of latent tuberculosis infection in the United States. N Engl J Med. 2004;
350: 2060-7. [PMID: 15141044]
Conflict of Interest:
None declared