How Quickly Do Systematic Reviews Go Out of Date? A Survival Analysis

Figure 1. Includes the search protocols to identify candidate new trials, application of criteria from the original review
to identify eligible new trials, meta-analytic pooling of new results with previous meta-analytic results, and identification
of new systematic reviews on the same topic or “pivotal trials” (published in 1 of the 5 highest-impact general medical journals
or more than 3 times the sample size of the previous largest trial) that met any of our criteria for qualitative signals for
updating. An individual reviewer reached a tentative conclusion about the presence of quantitative and qualitative signals
for updating, but each review was discussed in detail by the project team to reach a final consensus decision. For reviews
that did not have any signals for updating, the group also decided whether the searches had been adequate or whether more
comprehensive searching for new trials might be required, including more detailed electronic searching and hand-searching
of for new trials relevant to the original review. Overall process for determining updating status.ACP Journal Club
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Published Ahead of Print
July 16, 2007,
Ann Intern Med
August 21, 2007
vol. 147
no. 4
224-233