Weighing the Evidence for Expanding Physician Supply

Figure 2. Physician supply from 1980 to 2000 is from Pasko and Smart for the American Medical Association and the American Osteopathic Association ; supply projections are from a previous report (Cooper and colleagues) . Trend projections of demand are presented for Cooper and colleagues, 2002 ; Cooper, 1995 ; the Council on Graduate Medical Education ( ), 2003 (corrected for gross domestic product and presumed unnecessary services) ; the Bureau of Labor Statistics ( ), 1982–2002 (alternate years) ; and Schwartz and colleagues, 1988 . Task-and-time projections of demand are presented for the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee ( ), 1981 ; COGME, 1994 ; the Bureau of Health Professions ( ), 1995 and 1996 ; and Weiner, 1994 . Projections of demand have been normalized by converting reported values to percentages and applying them to supply levels in the base year.
Figure 2. Physician supply from 1980 to 2000 is from Pasko and Smart for the American Medical Association and the American Osteopathic Association ; supply projections are from a previous report (Cooper and colleagues) . Trend projections of demand are presented for Cooper and colleagues, 2002 ; Cooper, 1995 ; the Council on Graduate Medical Education ( ), 2003 (corrected for gross domestic product and presumed unnecessary services) ; the Bureau of Labor Statistics ( ), 1982–2002 (alternate years) ; and Schwartz and colleagues, 1988 . Task-and-time projections of demand are presented for the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee ( ), 1981 ; COGME, 1994 ; the Bureau of Health Professions ( ), 1995 and 1996 ; and Weiner, 1994 . Projections of demand have been normalized by converting reported values to percentages and applying them to supply levels in the base year. Physician supply and demand projections.(65)(66)(9)(9)(67)COGME(12)BLS(68)(69)GMENAC(2)(5)BHPr(7, 8)(6)

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  1. Ann Intern Med November 2, 2004 vol. 141 no. 9 705-714
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