Meta-Analysis: The Effect of Steroids on Survival and Shock during Sepsis Depends on the Dose
- Peter C. Minneci, MD;
- Katherine J. Deans, MD;
- Steven M. Banks, PhD;
- Peter Q. Eichacker, MD; and
- Charles Natanson, MD
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From the Clinical Center, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, and
Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
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Figure 1. Flow diagram of the published articles evaluated for inclusion in this meta-analysis.
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Figure 2. The relative survival benefits are shown with fixed-effects model and 95% CIs with glucocorticoid therapy in the
sepsis trials. Both the fixed-effects estimate (to compare across studies) and the random-effects estimate (to generalize
to other samples) of relative survival benefit are presented . Meta-analysis of all 13 trials demonstrated variability (I
= 70%) with no overall improvement in relative survival benefit (fixed-effects estimate, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.94 to 1.09]; random-effects
estimate, 1.04 [CI, 0.90 to 1.20]). The effect of steroids in the trials published before 1989 compared with those published
after 1997 significantly differed ( = 0.02). In the 4 trials published after 1997 (1 study did not report mortality data
), the effect of steroids on the relative survival benefit was consistently beneficial (I = 0%) (fixed-effects estimate, 1.23
[CI, 1.01 to 1.50]; random-effects estimate, 1.19 [CI, 0.99 to 1.43]). The effects of steroids on the relative survival benefit
in the 9 sepsis trials published before 1989 varied (I = 75%; fixed-effects estimate, 0.97 [CI, 0.89 to 1.04]; random-effects
estimate, 0.97 [CI, 0.81 to 1.16]). Excluding 1 trial , which was a statistically significant outlier, yields a homogeneous
group of 8 trials with a consistent harmful effect of steroids on survival (I = 14%; fixed-effects estimate, 0.89 [CI, 0.82
to 0.97]; random-effects estimate, 0.90 [CI, 0.80 to 1.02]). This excluded trial had methodologic differences, including being
performed by 1 investigator over an 8-year period and enrolling patients both prospectively and retrospectively. VA = Veterans
Administration. Effects of steroids on survival in previous and recent sepsis trials.(40)2P[33]22(16)(17-19, 35-39)2(16)
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Figure 3. The relationship between the dose of steroids administered in the first 24 hours after enrollment in a sepsis trial
and relative survival benefit ( ) is presented. There is a linear relationship (that is, the relative survival benefit decreases
with high-dose steroids but increases with lower doses) ( = 0.02). One study ( ) was overly influential in our regression
analysis, was a statistical outlier ( = 0.001) compared with the other trials, and was therefore excluded . This study was
performed a decade before all of the other trials, included children, and had a high percentage of patients with meningitis. Effects of steroid dose on survival.black circlesPwhite circleP(35)
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Figure 4. The relative benefit (95% CI) and the hazard ratio (with 95% CI) of shock reversal for the sepsis trials published
after 1997 are presented. Of note, in 3 of the 4 studies, the discontinuation of vasopressor therapy with steroid treatment
statistically significantly improved. In the fourth trial, the effect of steroid therapy on vasopressor discontinuation was
similar to the effect in the other trials (I = 0%; > 0.2). Effects of steroids on shock reversal.2P
Responses to this article
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Ann Intern Med
July 6, 2004
vol. 141
no. 1
47-56