The Cost-Effectiveness of Cyclooxygenase-2 Selective Inhibitors in the Management of Chronic Arthritis
- Brennan M.R. Spiegel, MD;
- Laura Targownik, MD;
- Gareth S. Dulai, MD, MSHS; and
- Ian M. Gralnek, MD, MSHS
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From the Veterans Administration Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California,
Los Angeles, CURE Digestive Diseases Research Center, and Center for the Study of Digestive Healthcare Quality and Outcomes,
Los Angeles, California.
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Figure 1. The base-case patient has chronic arthritis, is at average risk for ulcer complications, and is not taking concurrent
aspirin. The clinician may either treat with naproxen, 500 mg twice daily, or with a coxib, once daily. The extended tree
( ) is shared by the coxib arm, with the exception of switching to coxibs if ulcer complications develop. See text for details
about individual strategies and for assumptions about downstream costs and effects (not represented in the figure). EGD =
esophagogastroduodenoscopy; GI = gastrointestinal; NUD = nonulcer dyspepsia; PPI = proton-pump inhibitor. Truncated decision model.A
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Figure 2. The summary estimate is the relative risk ( ). CLASS = Celecoxib Long-term Arthritis Safety Study; SUCCESS = Successive
Celecoxib Efficacy and Safety Study. Meta-analysis using the fixed-effects model of randomized, controlled trials that report upper gastrointestinal dyspeptic
symptoms in patients receiving a coxib versus a nonselective nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug.RR
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Figure 3. The summary estimate is the relative risk ( ). Meta-analysis using the fixed-effects model of randomized, controlled trials that report clinically significant ulcer complications
(symptomatic ulcer, ulcer hemorrhage, or ulcer perforation) in patients receiving a coxib versus a nonselective nonsteroidal
anti-inflammatory drug.RR
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Figure 4. This analysis simultaneously varies all parameters over the full range of plausible values. Each point represents
the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio generated by one trial through the simulation. The median incremental cost-effectiveness
ratio of $268 000 per quality-adjusted life-year ( ) gained is shown ( ), and, by definition, 50% of the trials fall on either
side. Points below and to the right of each line represent trials that generated an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio below
the specified threshold. For example, if a third-party payer was willing to pay $150 000 per QALY gained for coxib therapy,
then only 4.3% of the patients in this simulation would fall within the budget. WTP = willingness-to-pay thresholds. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using 1000 trials.QALYsolid line
- Copyright ©2004 by the American College of Physicians
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Ann Intern Med
May 20, 2003
vol. 138
no. 10
795-806