Risk Stratification after Myocardial Infarction

  1. Heather L. Horton, MD, PhD
  1. Moosic, PA 18507

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    TO THE EDITOR:

    The recent clinical guidelines on myocardial infarction risk stratification [1] are meant to represent evidence-based medicine, but they seem to recommend discharge on day 4 or 5 in patients with an uncomplicated course who have only had an electrocardiographic stress test. The data provided to support early discharge include PAMI-2 (Primary Angioplasty in Myocardial Infarction-2) participants, who had already been identified as low risk by their coronary anatomy from emergent cardiac catheterization [2]; a small trial of patients treated with lytic therapy who had negative results on stress thallium tests [3]; and several statistical analyses attempting to identify low-risk patients without actual trials of early discharge. The small trial [3] randomly assigned 80 patients with uncomplicated infarctions and negative results on exercise thallium tests to early (day 3) or conventional (day 7 to 10) discharge. The authors of this study state that “Before this strategy can be widely recommended, however, its safety must be confirmed in larger prospective clinical trials” [3].

    Additional evidence used to obviate the need for imaging methods in predischarge testing is summarized in Table 3 of the guideline [1]. Exercise thallium testing has an average negative predictive value for cardiac death or myocardial infarction of 0.96; exercise electrocardiography has an average negative predictive value of 0.90. Thus, 10 of 100 patients with a negative result on exercise electrocardiography will have cardiac death or myocardial infarction compared with only 4 of 100 patients with a negative result on exercise thallium testing. I would guess that at least 6 of 100 patients with negative results on echocardiographic stress tests would find this information clinically relevant.

    Heather L. Horton, MD, PhD

    Moosic, PA 18507

    The Editors welcome submissions for possible publication in the Letters section. Authors of letters should:

    •Include no more than 300 words of text, three authors, and five references

    •Type with double-spacing

    •Send three copies of the letter, an authors' form signed by all authors, and a cover letter describing any conflicts of interest related to the contents of the letter.

    Letters commenting on an Annals article will be considered if they are received within 6 weeks of the time the article was published. Only some of the letters received can be published. Published letters are edited and may be shortened; tables and figures are included only selectively. Authors will be notified that the letter has been received. If the letter is selected for publication, the author will be notified about 3 weeks before the publication date. Unpublished letters cannot be returned.

    Annals welcomes electronically submitted letters.

    References

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