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REPLY

Publication Criteria for Statistical Prediction Models

right arrow Kerry L. Lee; Nina A. Bickell; and Karen S. Pieper

1 February 1993 | Volume 118 Issue 3 | Pages 231-232


IN RESPONSE:

Our perspective on the publication of regression coefficients and the disclosure of modeling details to allow others to apply predictive models has evolved over time, and our current position is in complete accord with the philosophy expressed by Drs. Palmas, Denton, and Diamond. Thus, the coefficients for several different diagnostic and prognostic models developed using data from the Duke Cardiovascular Disease Database will appear in a forthcoming article in this journal [1]. The particular prognostic models that were used to calculate the hazard score and the difference between medical and surgical survival probabilities, which in turn were used as adjustment variables in the regression analyses of referral to surgery, will be presented in a forthcoming publication that will document our validation studies [2].

In the meantime, we will gladly share these materials with anyone wishing to have further details of our models or of the analyses done in the gender bias article.


References
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1. Pryor DB, Shaw LK, McCants CB, Lee KL, Mark DB, Harrell FE, et al. Value of the history and physical examination in identifying patients at increased risk for coronary artery disease. Ann Intern Med. 1993; 118:81-90.

2. Pryor DB, Shaw LK, Lee KL, Harrell FE, Mark DB, Califf RM. Validation of models for predicting survival in patients with coronary artery disease. Ann. Intern. Med. 1993 (In press).

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