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Figure 5. Predicted myocardial infarctions (MIs) and thrombotic strokes averted and excess bleeding episodes caused in 1000 patients as a result of adding warfarin to aspirin for 1 year, stratified by bleeding and MI risk. Numbers of cardiovascular events are the differences between the MI rates (aspirin rate aspirin rate x risk ratio) plus the difference in stroke rates (baseline rates not shown) multiplied by 1000 patient-years. The number of bleeding episodes represents the difference in bleeding rates (combination rate combination rate/risk ratio for major bleeding episode) multiplied by 1000. Letters and corresponding dots represent actual combinations of bleeding and cardiovascular risk from Table 2. The shaded area in the parallelogram represents unfavorable risk or benefit. APRICOT-2 = Antithrombotics in the Prevention of Reocclusion In Coronary Thrombolysis-2; ASPECT-2 = Antithrombotics in the Secondary Prevention of Events in Coronary Thrombosis-2; ATACS = Antithrombotic Therapy in Acute Coronary Syndromes; OASIS = Organization to Assess Strategies for Ischemic Syndromes; WARIS II = Warfarin, Aspirin, Reinfarction Study.
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