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The Implications of Regional Variations in Medicare Spending. Part 2: Health Outcomes and Satisfaction with Care


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Table 1. Crude and Predicted Mortality Rates in Study Cohorts according to Level of Medicare Spending in Hospital Referral Region of Residence

 

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Table 2. Adjusted Relative Risk for Death across Quintiles of Medicare Spending and Relative Risk Associated with a 10% Increase in Medicare Spending, as Estimated by Using the Acute Care Expenditure Index (Sensitivity Analysis)

 

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Table 3. Average Change per Year in Functional Status on Health Activities and Limitation Index among Participants in the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey according to Medicare Spending in the Hospital Referral Region of Residence

 


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Figure 1. Adjusted relative risk for death during follow-up across quintiles of Medicare spending. Circles represent adjusted relative risk for death among residents of hospital referral regions in the specified quintile of the End-of-Life Expenditure Index (EOL-EI) compared to the risk for death among residents of hospital referral regions in quintile 1 of the EOL-EI; bars represent 95% CIs. MCBS = Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey; MI = myocardial infarction; Q1 = quintile 1; Q2 = quintile 2; Q3 = quintile 3; Q4 = quintile 4; Q5 = quintile 5.

 


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Figure 2. Adjusted relative risk for death associated with a 10% increase in Medicare spending overall and among specified subgroups of the hip fracture cohort. Income figures refer to the average monthly Social Security income of the patients' ZIP codes. Circles represent the adjusted relative risk for death associated with a 10% increase in the End-of-Life Expenditure Index across U.S. hospital referral regions; bars represent 95% CIs for the relative risk. *Mid-Atlantic, South Atlantic, and Great Lakes regions. {dagger}Did not change hospital referral region of residence in the 1 to 2 years before index admission. HMO = health maintenance organization.

 


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Figure 3. Adjusted relative risk for death associated with a 10% increase in Medicare spending overall and among specified subgroups of the colorectal cancer cohort. Income figures refer to the average monthly Social Security incomes of the patients' ZIP code. Circles represent the adjusted relative risk for death associated with a 10% increase in the End-of-Life Expenditure Index across U.S. hospital referral regions; bars represent 95% CIs for the relative risk. *Mid-Atlantic, South Atlantic, and Great Lakes regions. {dagger}Did not change hospital referral region of residence in the 1 to 2 years before index admission. HMO = health maintenance organization.

 


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Figure 4. Adjusted relative risk for death associated with a 10% increase in Medicare spending overall and among specified subgroups of the acute myocardial infarction ( MI) cohort. Income figures refer to the average monthly Social Security income of the patients' ZIP codes. Circles represent the adjusted relative risk for death associated with a 10% increase in the End-of-Life Expenditure Index across U.S. hospital referral regions; bars represent 95% CIs for the relative risk. *Mid-Atlantic, South Atlantic, and Great Lakes regions. {dagger}Did not change hospital referral region of residence in the 1 to 2 years before index admission. HMO = health maintenance organization.

 


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Figure 5. Satisfaction with care. An arrow pointing upward indicates a positive association between increased spending and satisfaction. Bars represents 95% CIs. Q1 = quintile 1; Q5 = quintile 5.

 

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Appendix Table 1. Characteristics of the Hip Fracture Cohort according to Level of Medicare Spending in Hospital Referral Region of Residence

 

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Appendix Table 2. Characteristics of the Colorectal Cancer Cohort according to Level of Medicare Spending in Hospital Referral Region of Residence

 

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Appendix Table 3. Characteristics of the Acute Myocardial Infarction Cohort according to Level of Medicare Spending in Hospital Referral Region of Residence

 

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Appendix Table 4. Characteristics of the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey Cohort according to Level of Medicare Spending in Hospital Referral Region of Residence

 

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Appendix Table 5. Summary of Variables Used in Cohort Analyses

 

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Appendix Table 6. Survival Model for the Hip Fracture Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 7. Survival Model for the Colorectal Cancer Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 8. Survival Model for the Acute Myocardial Infarction Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 9. Survival Model for the Medicare Beneficiary Survey Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 10. Models Testing the Association between the End-of-Life Expenditure Index and Change in Scores on the Health Activities and Limitations Index

 

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Appendix Table 11. Specific Services Provided to Chronic Disease Cohorts during First Year of Follow-up

 

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Appendix Table 12. Unadjusted Utilization Rates of Hospital and Physician Services, by Specified Subgroups of the Hip Fracture Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 13. Unadjusted Utilization Rates of Hospital and Physician Services, by Specified Subgroups of the Colorectal Cancer Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 14. Unadjusted Utilization Rates of Hospital and Physician Services, by Specified Subgroups of the Acute Myocardial Infarction Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 15. Impact of Chronic Conditions on Functional Status Scores

 

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Appendix Table 16. Reference Populations Used To Calculate the Acute Care Expenditure Index for Each Cohort

 

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Appendix Table 17. Average Predicted Mortality Rate across Quintiles of the Acute Care Expenditure Index

 

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Appendix Table 18. Ratio of Risk-Adjusted Utilization Rates for Each Cohort in the Specified Quintile of Medicare Spending to Spending in the Lowest-Cost Regions

 

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Appendix Table 19. Association between Acute Care Expenditure Index in Hospital Referral Region of Residence and Cohort-Specific Risk-Adjusted Long-Term Mortality Rates (Sensitivity Analysis)

 





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