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Figure 1. Revised pneumonia probabilities based on history and physical examination findings. The effects of history and physical examination findings separately and in combination were examined in the ambulatory care setting, where the baseline prevalence of community-acquired pneumonia is 5%. Likelihood ratios derived from Table 1 were applied to the baseline prevalence by using the Bayes theorem (post-test odds = pretest odds x likelihood ratio). The range of revised probabilities depicted by the width of each bar reflects the range of likelihood ratios observed for these findings. The finding of normal vital signs requires heart rate of 100 beats/min or less, temperature of 37.8 °C or less, and respiratory rate of 20 breaths/min or less (19).
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