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PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE

The Future of Physicians' Time

Ian Morrison, PhD

4 January 2000 | Volume 132 Issue 1 | Pages 80-84

Physicians' time is under assault in the current health care system. In particular, managed care payers are reducing compensation to physicians on a discounted fee-for-service basis. More demanding consumers, complex new technologies, and increased managerial and administrative burdens are placing further constraints on physicians' time. As we look ahead, it seems likely that these pressures will intensify and transform the ways in which physicians spend their time. Physicians will play eight key roles in the future: clinical data collector, shaman, health advisor and wellness coach, knowledge navigator, proceduralist, diagnostician, physician manager, and quality assurance specialist. They will need to lead the redesign of these roles and define the ways in which they should spend their time in the health care system of the new millennium.

Author and Article Information

From the Institute for the Future, Menlo Park, California.

Requests for Reprints: Ian Morrison, PhD, 1635 Bay Laurel Drive, Menlo Park, CA 94025; e-mail, seccurve{at}aol.com. For reprint orders in quantities exceeding 100, please contact the Reprints Coordinator; phone, 215-351-2657; e-mail, reprints{at}mail.acponline.org.

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